Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 4/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Boston Bruins and Buffalo Sabres meet Tuesday in NHL Game 5 at the KeyBank Center. Here’s a Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction. This article will include a Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres Pick.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Friday. The Bruins have lost 8 of their last 11 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 2.25 goals per game and are scoring on 15.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 2 goals, David Pasternak has 4 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 11 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.75 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 13 goals on 130 shots faced, and Joonas Korpisalo has given up 0 goals on 6 shots.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres look to make the second round for the first time since the 2006-07 season. The Sabres have won 9 of their last 13 games.

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.75 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Tuch leads Buffalo with 3 goals, Owen Power has 4 assists, and Tage Thompson has 19 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 2.25 goals per game and are killing 84.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 7 goals on 40 shots faced, and Alex Lyon has given up 2 goals on 56 shots.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won 11 of their last 12 home games following a road win.
• The Bruins have lost five of their last six Game 5s of an Eastern Conference First Round series.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in 20 of their last 24 night games following a road win.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Bruins have lost the third period in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Bruins’ last three games.
• The Sabres have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 16 of the Sabres’ last 17 games at KeyBank Center.
• The Sabres have lost the second period in each of their last three games as favorites when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Sabres’ last eight games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Bruins’ last five games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last 10 road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Sabres’ last five games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a losing streak.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Owen Power has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last five night games.
• Alex Tuch has scored a goal in four of the Sabres’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jason Zucker has scored three goals against the Bruins this season—equal to his most against any opponent.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in five of the Bruins’ last six road playoff games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 12 Tuesday night appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• David Pastrnak has scored four goals against the Sabres this season—most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Buffalo Sabres are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Buffalo Sabres rank T2nd in the league in shorthanded goals this season (11).
• The Boston Bruins rank T30th in the league in shorthanded goals this season (2).
• The Boston Bruins are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.

Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Injury Report

The Sabres will be without Justin Danforth, Sam Carrick, Tyson Kozak, Jason Zucker, and Josh Norris.

The Bruins will be without Nikita Zadorov and Viktor Arvidsson.

Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction

The Bruins have been badly outplayed in the last two games and now they’re on the road, where they haven’t been close to the same team they are at home. The Sabres have found their offensive explosiveness and now they get to play in front of a crowd that has a chance to see a playoff series win for the first time in nearly 20 years. Blades of Glory was in theaters the last time the Sabres made it out of the first round. This is going to be a madhouse, and I expect an already fun, up-tempo team to feed off of it. Give me the Sabres and the somewhat reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Buffalo Sabres