May 24, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights right wing Pavel Dorofeyev (16) stick checks Colorado Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar (8) during the third period in game three of the Western Conference Final of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images
Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Prediction 5/26/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Colorado Avalanche Vegas Golden Knights
Team Records 55-16-11 39-26-17
Spread -1.5 210 +1.5 -258
Moneyline -115 -105
Total Over 6.5 (105) Under 6.5 (-125)
Where Vegas Stadium
When Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN

In this article we will formulate an Avalanche vs Golden Knights prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, May 26th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL playoff matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are down 0-3 in this series after they lost the first three games by scores of 2-4, 1-3, and 3-5. In game three, Colorado led 3-0 after the first period, but they completely collapsed in the second and third for the loss. The Avalanche recorded 35 shots on goal, won 44.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Drury, Kadri, and Landeskog, while Wedgewood stopped 18 out of 22 shots, which was an .818 save percentage. 

Prior to this series, Colorado defeated the Wild in five games by scores of 9-6, 5-2, 1-5, 5-2, and 4-3. The Avalanche have lost four of their last six games and they finished first in the Central standings with 121 points. Colorado scored 3.63 goals per game and they allowed 2.40 goals against per game, while also going 17.1% on the power play and 84.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led the Avalanche with seven goals and eight assists, while Martin Necas has added one goal and 11 assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is up in the air, as we could see Wedgewood or Blackwood between the pipes. 

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are up 3-0 in this series after they won game three by a score of 5-3 on Sunday night. Vegas scored three goals in the second period to tie the game and they added two in the third to secure the win. The Golden Knights recorded 23 shots on goal, won 55.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Hertl, Howden, Karlsson, Kolesar, and Stone, while Hart stopped 32 out of 35 shots, which was a .914 save percentage.

Prior to this series, Vegas defeated the Ducks in six games by scores of 3-1, 1-3, 6-2, 3-4, 3-2, and 5-1. The Golden Knights have won 10 of their last 12 games and they finished first in the Pacific standings with 95 points. Vegas scored 3.22 goals per game and they allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 24.6% on the power play and 81.4% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led the Golden Knights with seven goals and 14 assists, while Jack Eichel has added two goals and 16 assists in the playoffs. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Carter Hart, who is 11-4 with a 2.30 goals against average and a .923 save percentage this postseason.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The Golden Knights have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Avalanche have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Avalanche have lost the third period in four of their last five games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won six of their last seven road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 Tuesday games at T-Mobile Arena.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in four of the Avalanche’s last five games.
  • The Golden Knights have lost the second period in three of their last four games as home underdogs following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last eight Tuesday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Avalanche’s last five road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 12 home games against the Avalanche.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 night games at T-Mobile Arena.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Brett Howden has scored at least one goal in five of the Golden Knights’ last six playoff games against Central Division opponents.
  • Shea Theodore has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five home appearances against the Avalanche.
  • Ivan Barbashev has scored three goals against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in eight of the Avalanche’s last 10 road playoff games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last five games at T-Mobile Arena.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Vegas Golden Knights have recorded the most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (32).
  • The Vegas Golden Knights have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (13).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.62%).
  • The Colorado Avalanche are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Prediction 

Vegas comes into this matchup after completing an insane comeback in game three and they will look to finish the series with a win here. The Golden Knights were 20-12-9 at home this year, while the Avalanche were 29-7-5 on the road. Colorado has looked terrible for most of this series and now MacKinnon is dealing with an injury. We have seen the Avalanche blow two leads in their last two games, but I do think they will find a way to extend the series here. Take Colorado to win.

David Racey's Pick: Avalanche ML

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