Raiders vs Broncos Prediction 11/6/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Raiders vs Broncos prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, November 6th at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-6 this year after they lost to Jacksonville in overtime by a score of 30-29 in their last game. Las Vegas allowed Jacksonville to tie the game with 16 seconds left in regulation and they were stopped on their two point conversion in overtime for the tough loss. The Raiders were out gained by a total of 367-331, went 7-10 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Geno Smith went 29-39 for 284 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Ashton Jeanty rushed 13 times for 42 yards. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 12 catches for 127 yards and three scores in the loss. The Las Vegas defense recorded one sack and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Las Vegas lost to the Chiefs by a score of 31-0, but did beat the Titans by a score of 20-10 before that. The Raiders have lost six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the AFC West standings. Las Vegas has scored 16.5 points per game with 194.1 passing yards and 89.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.3 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has thrown for 1,701 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 487 yards and three scores on 124 carries this year. 

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos are 7-2 this season after they defeated Houston by a score of 18-15 last week. Denver trailed 12-7 at halftime and 15-7 in the third, but they scored the last 11 points to escape with the victory. The Broncos out gained Houston by a total of 271-268, went 6-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-0 in the game. Bo Nix went 18-37 for 173 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while JK Dobbins rushed 15 times for 61 yards. RJ Harvey led the receivers with five catches for 51 yards and one score in the victory. The Denver defense recorded four sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Denver defeated the Cowboys by a score of 44-24 and the Giants by a score of 33-32. The Broncos have won six games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC West standings. Denver has scored 25.0 points per game with 213.8 passing yards and 133.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.4 points against per game this season. Bo Nix has thrown for 1,976 yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while JK Dobbins has rushed for 695 yards and four scores on 135 carries this season. 

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last nine games at Empower Field at Mile High.
• The Raiders have lost each of their last seven games in November.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last four road games after coming off overtime.
• The home team has won the first half in each of the Raiders’ last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Broncos’ last eight games at Empower Field at Mile High following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Raiders’ last four road games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last four games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 81+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances at Empower Field at Mile High.
• Courtland Sutton has recorded 61+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Bo Nix has recorded 279+ passing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Bo Nix has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Broncos’ last five home games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 10, Bo Nix ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (2.7%) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Tre Tucker has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Raiders’ last four games as underdogs following a home loss.
• Ashton Jeanty has recorded 63+ rushing yards in four of the Raiders’ last five games following a loss.
• Geno Smith has recorded 221+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
• Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his last eight November appearances.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with the Raiders as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Raiders as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Tre Tucker has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Commanders, Week 3).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (2237) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage against (34.8%) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in average points scored in second quarters this season (3.8).
• Heading into Week 10, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in average points against in third quarters this season (7.5).

Raiders vs Broncos Prediction 

Denver rolls into this matchup looking for their seventh straight win and they will be at home, but they have been very lucky to win three of their last four games. Las Vegas has lost six of their last seven games and they have allowed at least 30 points in three of their last four. The Raiders did play better last week against Jacksonville, but I can’t trust their defense to get many stops. We have seen Denver escape with some lucky wins, but I think they will pull away in the second half for the double digit victory here. Take the Broncos to cover.

David Racey is 56-32 (64%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!