Jets vs Lions Prediction 9/27/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Jets vs Lions prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 27th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 3 matchup.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets are 1-1 this season after they lost in overtime by a score of 20-17 against the Packers. New York was tied 7-7 at halftime and they led 17-7 in the fourth, but they couldn’t hold the lead and failed to score in overtime for the loss. The Jets out gained Green Bay by a total of 285-199, went 8-19 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Geno Smith threw for 247 yards and one touchdown, while Breece Hall caught five passes for 63 yards. Hall also led the ground game with 16 carries for 29 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, New York defeated the Titans by a score of 23-10 in week one. The Jets have scored 20.0 points per game with 216.5 passing yards and 109.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 15.0 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has thrown for 462 yards with one touchdown and zero interceptions, while Breece Hall has rushed 38 times for 131 yards and one score this season. 

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 1-1 this year after they lost to the Bills by a score of 41-31 in week two. Detroit trailed 27-10 at halftime, but they did win the second half 21-14 in the high scoring loss. The Lions were out gained by a total of 446-355, went 4-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Jared Goff threw for 327 yards and four touchdowns, while Amon-Ra St. Brown caught nine passes for 142 yards and two scores. Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 16 times for 52 yards in the game.

Prior to that loss, Detroit defeated the Saints by a score of 31-30 in overtime in week one. The Lions have scored 31.0 points per game with 246.5 passing yards and 115.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 35.5 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has thrown for 533 yards with six touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. 

Why the Detroit Lions will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last seven road games without Breece Hall.
• The Lions have won 12 of their last 13 home games following a loss.
• The Lions have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games without Jameson Williams.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games without Garrett Wilson.
• The Lions have won the first half in 11 of their last 12 September games as favorites.
• The Lions have won the first quarter in three of their last four home games in September.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Lions have lost three of their last four games as favorites without Brock Wright.
• The road team has won each of the last four games between the Jets and Lions.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games at Ford Field.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Lions’ last five games.
• The Lions have lost the first half in three of their last four games against AFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lions’ last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Jets’ last six games as road underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at Ford Field have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in four of the Lions’ last five home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Jared Goff has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Lions’ last five Sunday games.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 91+ rushing yards in each of the Lions’ last three September home games.
• Sam LaPorta has recorded 48+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances.
• Jared Goff has recorded 258+ passing yards in five of the Lions’ last six Sunday games as favorites.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last 10 games at Ford Field as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Lions’ last five games following a road loss.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored the last touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four September home games.
• Heading into Week 3, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (4) this season.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances against NFC opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 66+ receiving yards in five of his last six road appearances.
• Geno Smith has recorded 254+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five September appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six road appearances.
• Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Heading into Week 3, Isaiah Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Lions – only team with 2+ players to record 3+ total touchdowns this season (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs), heading into Week 3.
• Heading into Week 3, the Lions have recorded the equal-most game with 5+ Sacks this season (1).
• Heading into Week 3, the Jets rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 3, the Jets rank 1st in the NFL in time of possession against per game (24:05) this season.

Jets vs Lions Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup with a 1-1 record, but their defense has looked horrible through two games. The Lions have a very high scoring offense, but the defense is one of the worst in the NFL. New York blew a great chance to win last week against Green Bay and their offense is very inconsistent. I think the Lions have more overall talent, especially on offense, but I can’t lay any points with that defense. Take the over in this game, as both teams should move the ball.

David Racey's Pick: Over 47.5