Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Washington Wizards and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat prediction. This article will include a Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat pick.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview 

The Washington Wizards have been in a real slump, as they’ve lost 11 of their last 13 games overall and they will be hoping to put an end to an eight-game losing streak after getting trampled by the Pelicans in a 138-118 road defeat on Sunday. Tre Johnson led the team with 20 points on seven of 13 shooting, Will Riley added 19 points on eight of 12 shooting off the bench, and Trae Young chipped in with 17 points and eight assists.

As a team, the Wizards shot 45 percent from the field and 14 of 42 from the 3-point line, which was good enough to keep pace with the Pelicans in a free-flowing first half, but they couldn’t maintain that level in the second half, where they got outscored by 71-53. Bilal Coulibaly had a night to forget as he shot just one of 12 from the field for his five points.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are playing some of their best basketball of the season, as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to build on their current five-game win streak after routing the Pistons in a 121-110 home win on Sunday. Tyler Herro led the team with 25 points on eight of 16 shooting, Bam Adebayo added 24 points with nine rebounds and six assists, while Jaime Jacquez Jr. chipped in with 19 points and seven assists off the bench.

As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 33 from the 3-point line as they swarmed the Pistons from the tipoff and held them to just 16 points in the first quarter to open up a double-digit lead, before the Heat scored 36 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 29 points. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Wizards have lost each of their last 11 Tuesday road games.
• The Heat have won seven of their last eight night games against the Wizards at Kaseya Center.
• The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Wizards have won four of their last eight games on the road as underdogs against the Heat following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center against Wizards teams that held a losing record.
• The Wizards have covered the spread in four of their last five games at Kaseya Center against Heat teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Wizards’ last six games at Kaseya Center following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Heat’s last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only eight qualified guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.

Washington Wizards Player Facts

• Bub Carrington ranks 12th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (39.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.8).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.7).
• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (13.3).
• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (44.2).

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Wizards have ruled out Kyshawn George, Cam Whitmore, Anthony Davis, and Jamir Watkins again, while the Heat have ruled out Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, and Norman Powell, with Kel’el Ware currently listed as questionable. These teams have already clashed once this season, with the Heat cruising to a 132-101 road win back on Feb 8 and given how well the Heat have been playing lately.

I can’t picture anything but a similar result here. The Heat were always going to be double-digit favorites in this matchup but I feel it’s fully warranted as they’ve been on fire lately and I think they keep it going with another blowout win over the depleted Wizards.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -15.5