Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/5/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Thursday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors lost to the Knicks, beat the Wizards, and play the Mavs next. The Raptors have won 10 of their last 17 games.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 113.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 46 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds. RJ Barrett is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 5.9 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Nuggets and Grizzlies, and they play the Magic next. The Timberwolves have won 12 of their last 16 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.6 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.1 points and 5.3 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Raptors have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Raptors and Timberwolves.
• The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in three of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

• The Raptors have won seven of their last eight road games.
• The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight night games against Raptors teams that held a winning record.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Timberwolves’ last six games.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Raptors teams that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

• Six of the Timberwolves’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Raptors’ last three road games against Northwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified centers for three-pointers made per game (2.3) this season.
• Ayo Dosunmu ranks 6th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.1%) this season.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

• Immanuel Quickley ranks 9th in the league for fast break points (198) this season.
• Sandro Mamukelashvili ranks 11th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (51.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
• The Timberwolves are one of only two teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.
• The Raptors rank 29th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.6).
• The Raptors rank 2nd in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (60.7%).

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

Joe Ingles is out for the Timberwolves.

Chucky Hepburn and Collin Murray-Boyles are out for the Raptors. Brandon Ingram is questionable.

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves are winning and making a move in the standings but they’re not cashing tickets. The Timberwolves have failed to cover 5 of their last 6 games and they’re 26-36 ATS on the season. These teams met a month ago and it was a two-point game. As I’ve said time and time again, the Timberwolves win and are a sneaky contender, but they play with their food a lot. I don’t like big numbers with the Timberwolves. The Raptors have 19 road wins so they won’t be scared of the moment. Give me the Raptors and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Raptors +5.5