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Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks

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Dallas Mavericks (38-42) vs Toronto Raptors (30-50)

April 11, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -11.5 — Over/Under: 225

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Raptors pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Friday night. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors have been pretty good form as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall, and they will be aiming for a third straight win after routing the Hornets in a 126-96 home win on Wednesday. Jared Rhoden led the team with 23 points, seven rebounds, and four assists off the bench, while Jonathan Mogbo and Scottie Barnes added 17 points apiece. As a team, the Raptors shot 47 percent from the field and 19 of 52 from the 3-point line as they took a while to get going. But they came out of halftime swinging and dominated the second half by 73-51 to run past the lowly Hornets with ease in this one. 

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have gone cold lately as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall, and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after getting beaten by the Lakers in a 112-97 home defeat on Wednesday. Naji Marshall led the team with 23 points and eight assists, PJ Washington added 14 points, and Anthony Davis chipped in with 13 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 50 percent from the field and nine of 26 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight to keep the scores close at halftime. However, they went cold and managed just 40 points in the second half to allow the Lakers to run away with it in the end. 

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Raptors have lost each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Mavericks have won each of their five previous games against the Raptors at American Airlines Center following a loss.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites following a home loss.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Raptors have won five of their last seven games as road underdogs following a win.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games at American Airlines Center against Atlantic Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Raptors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games following a win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (23.2).
  • The Mavericks rank 26th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (34.2).
  • The Raptors rank 29th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (5.9).
  • The Raptors rank 29th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.8).

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Raptors are still missing RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and Jakob Poeltl, while the Mavericks are still keeping eyes on Jaden Hardy, Klay Thompson, Dante Exum, and Spencer Dinwiddie, who are all questionable. The Raptors are just playing out the rest of the regular season with nothing really to gain, while the Mavericks could do with a win here to keep pressure on the ninth-seeded Kings in the Western Conference standings. The Raptors haven’t been doing such a good job of tanking recently, as they’ve won their last two games, but I think that chances in this one as the Mavericks need a win here. I expect them to get it without too much hassle at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Dallas -11.5

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