Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction 11/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction

We’ve been backing the Rockets this season, as I said from the start, that they’re getting slept on, and if things come together, there’s value in them as a legit contender. Well, the Rockets are 7-1 SU and ATS on the season. Part of me wants to blindly keep backing the Rockets. However, this line is a bit thick going up against a decent Timberwolves side, and despite their injuries and three losses, they’re also 7-1 ATS on the season.

The Timberwolves have covered each of their last four games as an underdog. In a battle of the two money makers, I’m going to lean toward the boatload of points on Wednesday night. Give me the Timberwolves and the free buckets.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Bucks, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Pelicans next. The Timberwolves have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.3 points and 4.8 rebounds, while LaMelo Ball is averaging 16.9 points and 5.9 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Ayo Dosunmu is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 64.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.8 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Thunder and Celtics, and they play the Suns next. The Rockets have won 16 of their last 18 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 119.3 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 106.4 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Alperen Sengun is averaging 23.3 points and 8.7 rebounds, while Kevin Durant is averaging 20.8 points and 8.7 rebounds. Jabari Smith Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Amen Thompson is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last four home games.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last six Wednesday night games at Toyota Center.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last four home games.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Rockets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have won 14 of their last 18 night games against the Rockets.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four road games.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last six games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six games between the Timberwolves and Rockets at Toyota Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Amen Thompson ranks 6th in the league for points in the paint (92) this season.
• Kevin Durant ranks T6th in the league for fast break points (33) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 20+ rebounds in a game this season.
• Ayo Dosunmu is one of only six players in the league to have recorded 10+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (21.8).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (48.9).
• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (44.0).
• The Timberwolves rank T1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (75.0%).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Timberwolves +8.5