Spurs vs Kings Prediction 11/6/2026 NBA Picks Today

Spurs vs Kings Prediction

Those who have followed me over the years know how I feel about the Kings. They’re possibly the worst run franchise in all of sports. I want nothing to do with the Kings and usually blindly fade them. However, the Spurs are still a bit sluggish offensively and have failed to cover three of their last four games. The Spurs nearly just lost to the Mavericks as a double-digit favorite. Again, while the Kings have issues of their own, it’s a lot easier to stomach when we’re getting 15.5 free points.

There’s better games out there on Friday’s NBA Cup, but if forced to pick, I’m going to side with the Kings and the boatload of buckets. I’m not excited to get involved with the Spurs and these massive numbers with the way the offense looks currently.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Jazz and Mavs, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Spurs have won 20 of their last 24 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 108.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 29 points and 12.4 rebounds, while Dylan Harper is averaging 18.6 points and 4.6 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Stephon Castle is dishing out 4.8 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.1 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.5 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Lakers, beat the Mavs, and they play the Heat next. The Kings have lost 16 of their last 21 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 109.3 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 123.3 points on 49.9 percent shooting. Darius Acuff is averaging 25.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Zach LaVine is averaging 23.1 points and 3.1 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer, and De’Andre Hunter is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Kings have won four of their last six games as home underdogs against the Spurs.
• The Spurs have lost each of their last three games at Golden 1 Center following a home win.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as road favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Kings have covered the spread in four of their last five home games against the Spurs following a loss.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last 13 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Kings have lost eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in five of their last six games at Golden 1 Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the Spurs and Kings at Golden 1 Center have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Spurs’ last 11 games at Golden 1 Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Precious Achiuwa rank T13th in the league for total steals + blocks (22) this season.
• Zach LaVine ranks 19th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (24.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (35.1).
• The Kings rank 29th in the league for opponent points per game this season (123.3).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.0).
• The Spurs rank 1st for fast-break points (159) this season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Sacramento +15.5