Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks 3/13/25 NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors (37-28) will host the Sacramento Kings (33-31) on March 12, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, currently sixth in the Western Conference, aim to extend their five-game home winning streak. The Kings, holding the ninth spot, seek to improve their position in the playoff race. ​

Golden State has been in impressive form, winning 12 of their last 14 games. The recent acquisition of Jimmy Butler has bolstered their defense, replacing Andrew Wiggins in the lineup. Butler, a five-time All-Defensive selection, brings leadership and defensive prowess, contributing to the Warriors’ rise to the second-best net rating in the NBA since his debut. On the other hand, the Kings have recently restructured their roster by trading De’Aaron Fox for Zach LaVine. This move aims to enhance their offensive capabilities, pairing LaVine with DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis. However, integrating new players mid-season can present challenges, and the Kings will need to establish chemistry quickly to compete effectively against a cohesive Warriors team.

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Draymond Green Over 10.5 Points

Draymond Green is averaging 8.9 points per game, with a field goal percentage of 44.3%, including 39.0% from three-point range, and a free throw percentage of 61.2%. Additionally, Green has contributed 6.3 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks per game. Draymond Green has scored 10+ points in 6 of his last 10 games. The Kings fast-paced play style promotes high-scoring games. With Sabonis out for the Kings with a hamstring injury, it should relieve some pressure inside the paint for Draymond to capitalize on.

Demar Derozan Under 22.5 Points

In his first season with the Kings, DeRozan is averaging 22.2 points per game. Notably, he has achieved a personal best by shooting 36.1% from three-point range, reflecting an improvement in his perimeter shooting. ​Since the Kings acquired Zach Lavine, we’ve seen Derozan’s scoring numbers become more inconsistent. He’s scored under 22 points in 6 of his last 10 games. He’s been boom or bust lately and I don’t see this being a matchup where he goes off. This Warriors team has been strong defensively on the perimeter. 

Steph Curry Over 4.5 Three Pointers 

Stephen Curry has continued to demonstrate his exceptional three-point shooting prowess during the 2024-25 NBA season. On February 27, 2025, he delivered a season-high 56-point game against the Orlando Magic, connecting on 12 three-pointers. Curry has made 5 or more three-pointers in 3 of his last 4 games. He has a favorable matchup in this one going against the Kings, who are giving up 14.4 three-pointers per game to opposing teams, which is the 3rd most in the league.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above