Pick details
| MATCHUP | Portland Trailblazers | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 42-40 | 62-20 |
| Spread | +12.5 -110 | -12.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +490 | -675 |
| Total | Over 215.5 (-105) | Under 215.5 (-115) |
| Where | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Tuesday, April 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
The Portland Trail Blazers need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Thursday. The Trail Blazers have won 20 of their last 35 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 101.3 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 112 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Deni Avdija is averaging 22.3 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Jrue Holiday is averaging 18.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Scoot Henderson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jerami Grant is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 42.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs are a win away from making the second round for the first time since the 2016-17 season. The Spurs have won 38 of their last 47 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 101.3 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 22.3 points and 7 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 21 points and 6.3 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 42.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Trail Blazers have lost 13 of their last 14 Western Conference First Round road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Spurs have won 11 of their 12 previous playoff home games against the Trail Blazers.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 playoff games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in five of their last six Western Conference First Round games.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Spurs have lost four of their last five playoff games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Trail Blazers have won five of their last six games following a home loss.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in five of their last six road games following a home loss.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five playoff games at Frost Bank Center following a win.
Total Points: Facts
- Seven of the Spurs’ last eight games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Trail Blazers’ last five games at Frost Bank Center has gone UNDER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Stephon Castle is one of only five players to have recorded a 40+ point triple-double this season.
- Julian Champagnie is one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts
- Robert Williams III ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.1) this season.
- Jrue Holiday is one of only four players in the league to have made 7+ threes in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (69.5%).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for point differential per game this season (+8.3).
- The Trail Blazers rank 1st for second chance points (1513) this season.
- The Trail Blazers rank 1st for second chance points per game (18.5) this season.
Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Trail Blazers will be without Damian Lillard.
Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Spurs obviously have the horses to run away with this game and cruise to a blowout victory. However, these Trail Blazers are a scrappy bunch and could easily have a 3-1 series lead. The Trail Blazers led by 15 points in game 3 late in the third quarter. In game 4, the Trail Blazers led by 17 points at halftime and had a near 90 percent winning percentage. Portland has shown it can compete. Also, this could easily be the last game for coach Tiago Splitter, as it appears the Trail Blazers’ new owner is cheap and believes you can get by paying a coach peanuts. I’m sure the guys will continue to play hard for him. Spurs win, but I’ll lean toward the points.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Portland Trail Blazers +12.5
