Mar 4, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Atlanta Hawks guard Corey Kispert (24) drives for the basket against Milwaukee Bucks forward Bobby Portis (9) in the third quarter at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks
Team Records 34-28 32-31
Spread +6.5 -105 -6.5 -115
Moneyline +220 -270
Total Over 233.5 (-110) Under 233.5 (-110)
Where State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
When Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV NBA TV

The Philadelphia 76ers pay a visit to the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena on Saturday night. Here’s a Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks pick.

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview 

The Philadelphia 76ers have been in decent shape lately, as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to build some momentum after surviving a scare against the lowly Jazz in a 106-102 win on Wednesday. Tyrese Maxey led the team with 25 points and six assists, Jabari Walker added 22 points with 10 rebounds off the bench, and Quentin Grimes chipped in with 16 points.

As a team, the 76ers shot 45 percent from the field and nine of 35 from the 3-point line as they held the Jazz to just 22 points in the first quarter to jump out in front early but they squandered a 14-point lead and looked to be in trouble before they closed the final 3:35 on a 12-2 run to escape with the narrow win. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have made the most of an easy stretch in their schedule, as they are now on a five-game win streak after running past the Bucks in a 131-113 road win on Wednesday. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 23 points on nine of 14 shooting, Onyeka Okongwu added 21 points on nine of 14 shooting, Jalen Johnson tallied 20 points with nine assists, and CJ McCollum chipped in with 18 points and eight assists.

As a team, the Hawks shot 54 percent from the field and 20 of 45 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 41 points in the second quarter to cut into an early 23-point deficit before they absolutely dominated the second half by 65-42 to make it a blowout in the end. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won each of their last eight games against the 76ers.
  • The 76ers have lost each of their last eight games on the road as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last six games at State Farm Arena.
  • The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

  • The Hawks have lost three of their last five games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents following a win.
  • The 76ers have won each of their last three Saturday games as road underdogs.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games at State Farm Arena following a road win.
  • The 76ers have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Hawks’ last six home games against the 76ers has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the 76ers’ last seven road games against the Hawks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 4th in the league for fast break points (237) this season.

Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts

  • Tyrese Maxey ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (338) this season.
  • Adem Bona ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.5).
  • The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
  • The 76ers rank 30th in the league for Q3 points per game this season (26.3).
  • The 76ers rank 1st in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (67.7%).

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The 76ers are still missing Joel Embiid and Paul George, with VJ Edgecombe listed as a game-time decision, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Jonathan Kuminga, who is a game-time decision with a knee concern. The 76ers are banged up right now and they were far from convincing in their narrow win over the ice-cold Jazz in their last outing, so it’s no surprise to see the Hawks open as favorites at home in this matchup. These teams have already clashed three times, with the Hawks winning each game by an average of 7.0 points, so I am more than happy to take them at this short line.

Peter Tran's Pick: Atlanta -5.5

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