Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction 11/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Pacers are still without Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, and TJ McConnell, with Ivica Zubac, Kelly Oubre Jr and Obi Toppin all listed as questionable, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Scotty Pippen Jr with Quinten Post listed as questionable. The Pacers hope to have a few players return from injury and they will need it against this surging Grizzlies team who just suffered their first loss of the season.

There’s a case to be made for the Pacers if they get a few players back in the lineup, but that still wouldn’t be enough to sway me from taking the Grizzlies, who could easily be 7-0 heading into this contest. The Grizzlies are clearly the better team right now, and I think they bounce back with a win and cover here.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers are still struggling for form as they’ve lost six of their first eight games, and they are now hoping to avoid a sixth straight defeat after falling painfully short to the Hawks in a 108-104 home defeat on Monday. Quenton Jackson led the team with 20 points, seven rebounds, four steals, and two blocks; Jay Huff added 22 points; Braden Smith tallied 19 points with 10 assists, while Kobe Brown chipped in with 16 points off the bench.

As a team, the Pacers shot 48 percent from the field while holding the Hawks to just 39 percent shooting, but the Pacers got off to a slow start, and it cost them as they couldn’t cut the margin to less than three points after falling into an early 15-point deficit. The Pacers even outscored the Hawks by 20-5 at the free-throw line, but they allowed the Hawks to shoot 23 of 51 from the 3-point line, which was the difference in the end.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies started their season with an impressive six-game win streak, but now they are looking to bounce back after getting stopped in their tracks by the Pelicans in a heartbreaking 135-134 overtime loss on Monday. Ty Jerome led the team with 40 points and five assists on 14-of-22 shooting, Cameron Boozer added 18 points with nine rebounds and five assists, while Jaylen Wells chipped in with 16 points.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 52 percent from the field and 18 of 40 from the 3-point line as they closed the final 1:43 of the fourth quarter on a 9-0 run to send the game into overtime, only to lose the lead with just 7.1 seconds left on the clock when the Pelicans’ Jeremiah Fears made the game-winning free throws.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Pacers have lost 15 of their last 16 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Grizzlies have won seven of their last eight games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games at FedExForum.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Grizzlies have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The road team has won five of the Grizzlies’ last six games.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games at FedExForum following an overtime loss.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine night games at FedExForum following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Pacers’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).
• The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for Q2 points per game this season (33.6).
• The Pacers rank 29th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (25.0%).
• The Pacers rank 29th in the league for H1 win percentage this season (25.0%).

Peter Tran's Pick: Memphis -5.5