Pick details
| MATCHUP | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-18 | 45-37 |
| Spread | -10.5 -112 | +10.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -500 | +380 |
| Total | Over 213.5 (-110) | Under 213.5 (-110) |
| Where | Phoenix Stadium | |
| When | Monday, April 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBCSN | |
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder look for a sweep and to make the second round for a third straight season. The Thunder have won 27 of their last 32 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 95.5 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 34.7 points and 8 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.5 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 87 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns need a win to save their season and force a game 5 on Wednesday. The Suns have lost 14 of their last 21 games.
The Phoenix Suns are averaging 100 points on 41.6 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Dillon Brooks is averaging 27 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Jalen Green is averaging 21.3 points and 5 rebounds. Devin Booker is the third double-digit scorer, and Royce O’Neale is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Suns have won each of their last six home games following a home loss.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four playoff games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight playoff games as road favorites following a win.
- The home team has covered the spread in 20 of the Thunder’s last 26 playoff games.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 10 Western Conference First Round games following a win.
- The Suns have lost each of their last nine playoff games against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Mortgage Matchup Center against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
Total Points: Facts
- Seven of the Suns’ last eight playoff games at Mortgage Matchup Center have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Thunder’s last eight night games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Suns Player Facts
- Dillon Brooks ranks 37th amongst qualified players for FT% (84.2%) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
- Ajay Mitchell is one of only 12 players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.7%).
- The Suns rank 2nd in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (27.0).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.2).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report
Mark Williams is out for the Suns. Jordan Goodwin is questionable with a calf strain.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober and Jalen Williams.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction
You would think the Suns could compete at home when the Thunder are down a starter. However, none of the three games have been close, so it’s hard to expect anything different. The Suns just don’t have the offensive depth to compete and the defensive effort just hasn’t been there. The Suns have not only piled up the losses over the last month but they’re also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Since April 2023, the Suns are 4-9 ATS as a double-digit underdog. There’s just been nothing from the Suns in this series that indicates they can hang. I have to lay the number with OKC in a sweep.
