New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The New Orleans Pelicans and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Lakers, beat the Kings, and play the Wizards next. The Pelicans have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 114.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 120.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Trey Murphy III is averaging 22.1 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Zion Williamson is averaging 21.9 points and 6 rebounds. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer, and Dejounte Murray is dishing 6 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Kings, lost to the Bulls, and play the Hornets next. The Suns have lost 7 of their last 11 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 112.1 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 111.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 24.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 20.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer, and Collin Gillespie is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have won each of their last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The road team has won four of the Suns’ last five games.
• The Suns have lost four of their last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Suns’ last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Pelicans’ last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Devin Booker ranks 13th amongst qualified players for points per game (24.6) this season.
• Royce O’Neale ranks 9th amongst qualified forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.7) this season.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

• Trey Murphy III ranks 4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.
• Saddiq Bey ranks 10th amongst qualified guards for rebounds per game (5.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for steals per game this season (10.0).
• The Suns rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (4.0).
• The Pelicans rank 1st for points in the paint per game (53.4) this season.
• The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.6).

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

The Suns will be without Jordan Goodwin, Mark Williams, and Dillon Brooks.

Dejounte Murray is questionable for the Pelicans.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Pelicans are playing better since getting healthier and they could have a rested Murray. However, the Suns should be eager to bounce back from an ugly loss to the Bulls. I also like my home teams that don’t have to travel when both sides are on the end of a back-to-back. Also, despite some hiccups recently, the Suns are still 36-23-3 ATS on the season. The Pels also have just 9 road wins this season. The line isn’t too crazy. Give me the Suns and the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns -6.5