New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 4/12/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Celtics and beat the Jazz. The Pelicans have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 115.3 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 119.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Trey Murphy III is averaging 21.7 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Zion Williamson is averaging 21.4 points and 5.8 rebounds. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer, and Dejounte Murray is dishing 6.5 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Magic and beat the Rockets. The Timberwolves have lost 4 of their last 6 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 117.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.5 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 20.9 points and 5.1 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight road games.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight Sunday night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Pelicans’ last eight games.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Pelicans’ last four games at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last three games following a win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Timberwolves following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last six games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Pelicans’ last five road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (75.2%).
• The Timberwolves are one of only two teams to win 12+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.
• The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (40.6).
• The Pelicans are one of only two teams to lose 12+ games when leading after Q3 this season.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland, and Julius Randle are questionable for the Timberwolves.

Saddiq Bey and Herbert Jones are questionable for the Pelicans.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves have nothing to play for locked into the sixth seed so they’re going to sit a lot of their guys. The Timberwolves have had issues covering numbers as it is, with a 36-45 ATS record so I’m not thrilled to lay big numbers with their backups. The Pelicans don’t have their pick so they’ve been competing all year and they’re a profitable 45-36 ATS on the season. The Pels beat the Timberwolves back in February as 8.5-point underdogs. The underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last 9 games between the Pelicans and Timberwolves. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +8.5