Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Player Prop Picks 3/12/25 NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (42-23) on March 12, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The Timberwolves are on a three-game road winning streak, with Anthony Edwards leading the team, averaging 27.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. The Nuggets, currently second in the Western Conference, are led by Nikola Jokić, who averages 28.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.4 assists per game. This matchup features two of the league’s top performers and could have significant playoff implications.

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Jamal Murray Over 19.5 Points

Denver Nuggets point guard Jamal Murray has been a pivotal contributor to his team’s offense during the 2024–25 NBA season. Murray is averaging 21.2 points per game, reflecting his consistent scoring ability. He has maintained a field goal percentage of 47.5%, a three-point shooting accuracy of 39.2%, and a free-throw percentage of 87.0%. Everyone wants to talk about Nikola Jokic when it comes to the Nuggets, but Jamal Murray has been playing at a high level as well. We’ve seen Murray score 20+ points in 4 of his last 6 games and is coming off a 34-point performance against the Thunder. With how much attention Jokic garners, it opens things up for Murray. 

Jaden McDaniels Over 14.5 Points

Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels has demonstrated significant improvement in his offensive game during the 2024–25 NBA season. Over 62 games, he has averaged 15.8 points per game, marking a notable increase from his previous seasons. McDaniels has achieved career highs in field goal percentage at 51.2% and three-point shooting at 41.5%, reflecting his enhanced scoring efficiency. From the free-throw line, he has maintained a solid 78.9% conversion rate. McDaniels is undervalued right now in the player prop market. We’ve seen him clear his point line with ease in 8 of his last 10 games, and oddsmakers haven’t adjusted his line. Let’s take advantage of this. 

Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds

Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokić has been a dominant force on the boards during the 2024–25 NBA season. Jokic is averaging 12.7 rebounds per game, underscoring his consistent ability to control the glass. More recently, on March 10, 2025, Jokić secured 18 rebounds alongside 35 points and eight assists in a 140–127 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, narrowly missing his 30th triple-double of the season. ​Jokic has recorded 13+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 games. I just don’t see anyone stopping this guy at this point. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above