Feb 3, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Chicago Bulls forward Matas Buzelis (14) drives to the basket against Milwaukee Bucks guard AJ Green (20) in the first half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images
Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls
Team Records 26-32 24-36
Spread -3.5 -105 +3.5 -115
Moneyline -155 +130
Total Over 228.5 (-112) Under 228.5 (-108)
Where United Center, Chicago, IL
When Sunday, March 1, 2026
Time 03:30 PM EST
TV CHSN

The Chicago Bulls play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at the United Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in great form as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back here after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Knicks in an ugly 127-98 home defeat on Friday. Myles Turner led the team in scoring with 19 points, Kyle Kuzma added 17 points, and Bobby Portis chipped in with 14 points off the bench.

As a team, the Bucks shot just 43 percent from the field and 16 of 42 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the Knicks from the tipoff and were always fighting a losing battle after allowing 77 points in the first half to fall into a double-digit deficit that only grew as the game wore on. AJ Green finished with just seven points in a rare start, while Cam Thomas scored just seven points on two of nine shooting off the bench. 

Chicago Bulls Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 14 of their last 15 games overall and they will be hoping to arrest an 11-game losing streak after getting beaten by the Trail Blazers in a 121-112 loss on Thursday. Matas Buzelis led the team with 20 points, seven rebounds, and four assists; Tre Jones added 19 points off the bench while Josh Giddey tallied 15 points with six rebounds and nine assists.

As a team, the Bulls shot 50 percent from the field and nine of 30 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to keep pace with the Trail Blazers until the fourth quarter, where the Bulls went cold and fell behind by 15 points. Collin Sexton had a quiet game of just 10 points in 18 minutes of action, while Rob Dillingham scored just five points on two of seven shooting. 

Why the Chicago Bulls will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Bucks’ last five games at the United Center.
  • The Bucks have lost each of their last six road games following a home loss.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.
  • The Bulls have covered the spread in five of their last six home games when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bulls have lost each of their last 10 games following a loss.
  • The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Bulls have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Bucks teams that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Bulls’ last eight games at United Center.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Bulls’ last four home games against the Bucks has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Bucks’ last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone OVER the total points line.

Chicago Bulls Player Facts

  • Matas Buzelis is one of only nine players in the league to have recorded 6+ blocks in a game this season.
  • Robert Dillingham ranks 9th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.3) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • AJ Green ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.4) this season.
  • Ryan Rollins is one of only 13 qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (17.1) and assists (5.4) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bulls rank 29th in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (31.1).
  • The Bulls rank 29th in the league for H2 opponent points per game this season (60.3).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.4).
  • The Bucks rank 30th for points in the paint (2414) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction

The Bucks are still playing without Giannis Antetokounmpo, while the Bulls have ruled out Jalen Smith, Anfernee Simons, Jaden Ivey, and Zach Collins. These two squads have already clashed three times this season, with the Bucks winning all three meetings relatively comfortably.

The Bucks were on fire before they ran into the Knicks in their last outing, but I fully expect them to get back to winning ways against this ice-cold Bulls squad, who have lost 11 games in a row. The line is short, so I will stick with the more consistent Bucks to get the win and cover on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Milwaukee -3.5

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