Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/14/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Atlanta Hawks collide at the State Farm Arena on Saturday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks have really been struggling lately, as they’ve lost seven of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a three-game slide after getting beaten by the Heat in a 112-105 road defeat on Thursday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 31 points on 12 of 24 shooting, Bobby Portis added 19 points on eight of 14 shooting, and Ryan Rollins chipped in with 16 points and 10 assists off the bench but no other player scored more than eight points.

As a team, the Bucks shot 49 percent from the field and nine of 26 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and fell into an early 15-point deficit, which proved to be too much to overcome as the Bucks never led at any point in this contest. Kevin Porter Jr. scored just six points, while Kyle Kuzma finished with just five points. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been on a tear lately, as they’ve won nine of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to build on their season-high eight-game win streak after routing the Nets in a 108-97 road win on Thursday. Jalen Johnson led the team with 21 points, nine rebounds and nine assists; Zaccharie Risacher added 19 points with nine rebounds and two blocks, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in with 18 points.

As a team, the Hawks shot 39 percent from the field and 12 of 40 from the 3-point line, which aren’t impressive numbers, but they were rock-solid on the defensive end as they held the Nets to just 21 points in the first quarter to jump out in front, but the game tightened up and the Hawks actually lost the lead in the fourth quarter before they went on a crucial 10-0 run to slip away in the end. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The favorites have won each of the Hawks’ last 12 games at State Farm Arena.
• The Bucks have lost eight of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Bucks and Hawks.
• The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in four of their last five road games against the Hawks.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bucks’ last five day games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (256) this season.
• Dyson Daniels ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fourteen different Hawks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
• Twelve different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.2).
• The Bucks rank 30th for points in the paint (2812) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Bucks are keeping an eye on Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr., and Ousmane Dieng, who are all questionable, while the Hawks have ruled out Jonathan Kuminga for this one. The last time these two teams met was just over a week ago and it was the Hawks who won by 131-113 in a balanced scoring effort with all five starters scoring at least 14 points and I think we’re about to see a similar outcome in this one.

The Bucks are still a threat if Antetokounmpo suits up and has a big game, but overall, they’ve been playing well below their best lately and I don’t think they will be able to hang with the red-hot Hawks, who are playing their best basketball of the season right now.

Peter Tran's Pick: Atlanta -7.5