Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 2/24/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Grizzlies and Hawks, and they play the 76ers next. The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Pelicans and lost to the Raptors, and they play the Cavs next. The Bucks have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.8 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 17.3 points and 5.2 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer, and Cam Thomas is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Heat have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Bucks have won eight of their last nine home games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 18 of their last 19 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Heat.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bucks have lost each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at Fiserv Forum against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

• Twelve of the Heat’s last 13 games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Bucks’ last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• Ryan Rollins ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.
• AJ Green ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.5%) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Norman Powell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.7) this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 10th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bucks rank 30th for points in the paint (2308) this season.
• The Bucks rank 30th for second-chance points (607) this season.
• The Heat rank first in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.6).
• The Heat rank first in the league for H1 points per game this season (61.9).

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report

The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince and Giannis Antetokounmpo.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Nikola Jovic is doubtful. Davion Mitchell is questionable.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Heat have Herro back in the mix, and they’ve won 4 of their last 5 games. Are the Heat back? I need to see more. The Heat has been hit or miss all season, and I’m just not a believer they’ve figured things out yet. The Bucks have quietly been winning games and should be up for this one at home. The underdog has covered 4 of the last 6 games between the Heat and Bucks, which has become a bit of a rivalry in recent years. It wouldn’t shock me if the Heat lose this game outright, as they throw in a stinker right once you start to believe. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +5.5