Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Mavs and Pacers and play the Trail Blazers next. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Nuggets and Clippers, and they play the Raptors next. The Timberwolves have won 11 of their last 15 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.6 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.1 points and 5.3 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Grizzlies and Timberwolves at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last four games.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.

Total Points: Facts

• Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Grizzlies’ last 10 road games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Ayo Dosunmu ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.3%) this season.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Ty Jerome leads all Grizzlies players for points per 36 minutes (33.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
• The Timberwolves are one of only two teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Q3 this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only four teams to lose 10+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only four teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points through Q1 this season.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama. Kyle Anderson is doubtful.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves are winning games and should keep things going against a bad and banged-up Grizzlies side. It sounds great. However, as I’ve said time and time again, the Timberwolves play with their food far too often and aren’t a side I trust as big favorites. The Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. This is also a letdown spot after a huge win over the Nuggets. So while I don’t want to back the Grizzlies as much as the next guy, I have to grab the free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +13.5