Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/27/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Warriors and Kings and play the Pacers next. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 8 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Nets and lost to the Kings, and they play the Thunder next. The Mavs have lost 11 of their last 13 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Mavericks have won each of their last four home games after losing as favorites.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Grizzlies have won seven of their last eight games against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Mavericks.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Grizzlies and Mavericks at American Airlines Center has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of the Grizzlies’ last 11 night games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Naji Marshall ranks 17th amongst qualified players for FG% (53.3%) this season.
• Caleb Martin leads all Mavericks players in steals per 36 minutes (1.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.2%).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.7).
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to lose 10+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points through Q1 this season.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Daniel Gafford and Khris Middleton are questionable.

The Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama. Kyle Anderson is doubtful.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

I don’t want to back the Grizzlies as much as the next guy but they’re the rested team. The Mavs have a similar injury report to the Grizzlies, and they’re on the end of a back-to-back. We also just saw the Mavericks lose to the Kings while allowing 130 points. I’m supposed to follow that up by laying five points? No thank you. There are better ways to spend your Friday night but if forced to pick, I’m going to grab the points with the Grizzlies. The Grizz have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Mavs for what it’s worth.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5