Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards Prediction 3/2/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets and the Washington Wizards do battle at the Capital One Arena on Monday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets have been in pretty good shape as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Heat in a 115-105 road defeat on Saturday. Kevin Durant led the team with 32 points and eight assists on 12 of 20 shooting; Amen Thompson added 20 points with 11 rebounds and four assists, while Reed Sheppard chipped in with 14 points and five assists. A

As a team, the Rockets shot 43 percent from the field and nine of 36 from the 3-point line as they played great defense in the second quarter to take the lead into halftime, but they went cold when it mattered most and could only watch as the Heat used a crucial 9-0 run late in the game to slip away. 

Washington Wizards Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Washington Wizards have been in a slump as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall and they will be hoping to snap a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Raptors in a 134-125 loss on Saturday. Will Riley led the team with 19 points off the bench; Bilal Coulibaly added 14 points with five rebounds and four assists, while Kyshawn George chipped in with 14 points and two blocks on five of seven shooting.

As a team, the Wizards shot 53 percent from the field and 16 of 34 from the 3-point line as they poured in 33 points in the first quarter to take an early 13-point lead, but their lack of interior size was a problem all night as they allowed the Raptors to shoot 60 percent from the field thanks to 68 points in the paint. 

Why the Washington Wizards will win

• The Wizards have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Wizards have lost each of their last 13 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Wizards.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Rockets and Wizards.
• The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Wizards’ last four home games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Rockets’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Amen Thompson ranks T5th in the league for points in the paint (676) this season.
• Tari Eason ranks 10th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (62.9).
• The Wizards rank 30th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (30.5%).
• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from an HT lead this season—led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (26.6).

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards Prediction

The Rockets are still missing Steven Adams, Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Jabari Smith Jr., while the Wizards have ruled out Trae Young, Alex Sarr, Anthony Davis, and Cam Whitmore, with Kyshawn George listed as questionable. The Rockets are coming into this one fresh off a tough loss to the Heat, but they were on a nice run before that loss and they will love another matchup against the Wizards, whom they smashed by 135-112 back on Nov 12.

The Rockets aren’t exactly firing on all cylinders at the moment, but I think they’ll bounce back here with a comfortable win and cover over this depleted Wizards team with little to play for at this stage of the season.

Peter Tran's Pick: Houston -15.5