Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 2/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and the Memphis Grizzlies duke it out at the FedExForum on Wednesday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in a slump as they’ve lost six of their last nine games overall, and they will be hoping for a better result after coming up just short to the Pelicans in a 113-109 road defeat last night. De’Anthony Melton led the team in scoring with 28 points, Moses Moody added 24 points, and Brandin Podziemski tallied 16 points with 15 rebounds off the bench, while Draymond Green chipped in with 11 points, seven rebounds, and six assists.

As a team, the Warriors shot just 41 percent from the field and 11 of 45 from the 3-point line as they suffered a slow start and had to claw their way back from an early 14-point deficit to take the lead in the fourth quarter, before the Pelicans responded with a 14-3 run to reclaim the lead for good. 

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in terrible shape as they’ve lost 12 of their last 15 games overall, and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the ice-cold Kings in a 123-114 loss on Monday. Javon Small led the team with 21 points and nine assists off the bench; Olivier-Maxence Prosper added 17 points on nine of nine shooting, while GG Jackson chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 48 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they poured in 36 points in the second quarter to keep pace with the hot-shooting Kings in a close contest until the fourth quarter, where the Kings went on a crucial 10-0 run to start to pull away at the end. Scotty Pippen Jr. had a night to forget as he scored just six points on zero of eight shooting. 

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Warriors have lost each of their last three games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Grizzlies have won eight of their last nine games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at FedExForum against Warriors teams that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 13 night games against Pacific Division opponents that hold a winning record.
• The Warriors have won each of their last six games following a road loss.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games at FedExForum against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

• Seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Warriors’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Scotty Pippen Jr. leads all Grizzlies players for steals per 36 minutes (4.6) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Pat Spencer ranks 18th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.4) this season.
• Moses Moody ranks 29th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.2%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to lose 10+ games when leading after Q3 this season.
• This season, 42.5% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line—the highest mark in the league.
• The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for steals per game this season (10.0).

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Warriors are still missing Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Jimmy Butler III, and Kristaps Porzingis, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama again, with Kyle Anderson listed as questionable. You really couldn’t back either side with any confidence, as both teams are missing so many star players.

The Warriors still hold the edge as they’re not missing quite as many players as the Grizzlies, but the Warriors are playing this one on zero days’ rest, which evens things out a bit. The Grizzlies are certainly capable of pulling off the upset but not if they play like they did against the Kings in their last outing. This should be a close one, but I prefer a play on the Warriors to bounce back with a narrow win here.

Peter Tran's Pick: Golden State -3.5