Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/28/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Detroit Pistons travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday night. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview 

The Detroit Pistons have been in a groove as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after running past the Pelicans in a 129-108 home win on Thursday. Jalen Duren led the team with 30 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists on 10 of 12 shooting; Kevin Huerter added 22 points on nine of 14 shooting, while Daniss Jenkins chipped in with 19 points and nine assists.

As a team, the Pistons shot 56 percent from the field and 15 of 28 from the 3-point line as they poured in 34 points in the second quarter to take a nine-point lead into halftime, but the game was still relatively close until late in the third quarter, where the Pistons were able to pull ahead by double digits.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Rockets in a 110-108 overtime win on Wednesday. Jaden McDaniels led the team with 25 points on 10 of 17 shooting; Julius Randle added 24 points with six rebounds and six assists, while Donte DiVincenzo chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot 42 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they battled the Rockets in a thriller and looked to be dead in the water when they trailed by 13 points in overtime before they closed the game on a ferocious 15-0 run to snatch one of the wildest comebacks in NBA history. 

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Pistons have lost each of their last five games at Target Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Timberwolves have won 27 of their last 32 home games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Pistons and Timberwolves.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

• The Pistons have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last six day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites after winning as underdogs.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last five day games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Pistons’ last six games against the Timberwolves following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for points per game (21.1) this season.
• Donte DiVincenzo ranks 17th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.4).
• The Timberwolves rank 28th in the league for free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.3).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.1).

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Pistons have ruled out Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham and Duncan Robinson, while the Timberwolves have ruled out Ayo Dosunmu and Anthony Edwards, both listed as day-to-day. These two teams have yet to meet this season and both teams have been playing some great basketball lately, so we should be in for a good contest here.

The Pistons open as the underdogs here despite entering as the hotter team overall, but that’s mainly due to the absence of Cade Cunningham. On the other hand, the Timberwolves should have had Edwards in action but they didn’t need him in their thrilling comeback overtime win. This is a tough one to pick, but the Timberwolves are at home and they should be well-rested as they haven’t played since Wednesday, so I will lean towards the Timberwolves to get the narrow win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota -2.5