Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 2/22/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets travel to the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets have been struggling a bit lately, as they’ve lost five of their last eight games overall, but they will be feeling much better after they smashed the Trail Blazers in a dominant 157-103 road win on Friday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 32 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists; Jamal Murray added 25 points with six rebounds and six assists, while Julian Strawther and Tim Hardaway Jr. each scored 19 points.

As a team, the Nuggets shot 57 percent from the field and 21 of 41 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 82 points in the first half, and they just didn’t take their foot off the gas despite pulling their starters early as they ran up the score to finish with their most dominant win of the season. 

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been doing it tough lately, as they’ve dropped five of their last seven games overall, and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Celtics in a 121-110 loss on Thursday. De’Anthony Melton led the team with 18 points, Gui Santos and Will Richard each scored 17 points, and Gary Payton II chipped in with 14 points.

As a team, the Warriors shot 45 percent from the field and 20 of 55 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and got outscored by 38-19 in the second quarter to trail by as many as 34 points before they finished with a flurry in the fourth quarter to bring some respectability to the final score. Draymond Green had a night to forget as he finished scoreless on zero of seven shooting from the field, while Pat Spencer scored just five points on two of seven shooting. 

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against the Nuggets.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last eight day games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have lost nine of their last 10 games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Chase Center.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last eight games against the Warriors following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games at Chase Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Moses Moody ranks 30th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.1%) this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Cameron Johnson ranks 11th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.9%) this season.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 30th for points in the paint per game (42.1) this season.
• This season, 42.6% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line—the highest mark in the league.
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.6%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.6%).

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Nuggets are still missing Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson, while the Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, and Jimmy Butler III once again. These teams last met on Nov 7, and it was the Nuggets who rolled to a 129-104 win, and given how shorthanded the Warriors are right now, it’s hard to picture anything but a similar result in this one. The Nuggets haven’t been at their best, but perhaps their 54-point victory over the Trail Blazers knocked off some cobwebs, and I think they can keep it going with another comfortable win over this severely depleted Warriors outfit.

Peter Tran's Pick: Denver -4.5