Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 2/22/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks have gone ice-cold, as they are now riding a 10-game losing streak after getting routed by the Timberwolves in a 122-111 road defeat on Friday. Khris Middleton led the team in scoring with 18 points; Naji Marshall and Marvin Bagley III each scored 15 points, while Tyus Jones and Brandon Williams each scored 13 points.

As a team, the Mavericks shot 42 percent from the field and eight of 25 from the 3-point line as they leaked 40 points in the first quarter and looked to be in deep trouble after trailing by 18 points in the second quarter. The Mavericks refused to give in and clawed their way back into the contest, only to get outscored by 19-8 in the final 6:37 to lose by double digits anyway.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been doing it tough lately, as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall, and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting routed by the Wizards in a 131-118 road defeat on Friday. Jay Huff led the team with 22 points on eight of 11 shooting, Quenton Jackson added 21 points on eight of 13 shooting off the bench, and Micah Potter chipped in with 18 points.

As a team the Pacers shot 48 percent from the field and 18 of 49 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 41 points in the second quarter to take a 15-point lead, but they lost their focus and looked like a different team in the second half, where they got dominated 74-50 to suffer another disappointing defeat.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games following a loss.
• The Pacers have won nine of their last 10 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Mavericks.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last four night games against the Pacers following a road loss.
• The Pacers have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Pacers’ last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of the Mavericks’ last 11 games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• P.J. Washington is one of only four qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Naji Marshall ranks 6th amongst qualified Forwards for FG% (52.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pacers have used 30 different starting fives this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for points per possession this season (1.10).
• The Mavericks have used 30 different starting fives this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.2).

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Mavericks have ruled out Dereck Lively III, Kyrie Irving, and Cooper Flagg, and they have Daniel Gafford listed as questionable, while the Pacers are still missing Tyrese Haliburton, Johnny Furphy, and Aaron Nesmith, with T.J. McConnell and Pascal Siakam both listed as questionable.

The Mavericks are riding a 10-game losing streak, but they still open as slight road favorites against this slumping Pacers team, who just got beaten by the Wizards twice. Be sure to check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over the Pacers, but as it stands, I prefer a play on the depleted Mavericks, who were more than competitive against the red-hot Timberwolves in their last outing.

Peter Tran's Pick: Dallas -2.5