Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Clippers and Warriors and play the Trail Blazers next. The Mavs have lost 23 of their last 27 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.5 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Suns and Trail Blazers and play the Jazz next. The Nuggets have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28 points and 12.6 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.1 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
• The Nuggets have won each of their last four games at Ball Arena.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Mavericks’ last 10 games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Mavericks and Nuggets.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs following an overtime loss.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Nuggets’ last six Wednesday home games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.0).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.2%).
• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.6%).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.7%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without Peyton Watson.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Caleb Martin, and Dereck Lively II. Brandon Williams and Daniel Gafford are questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I’m not excited to lay double-digit chalk with the Nuggets on the end of a back-to-back. However, this game has more to do with the Mavs than anything. The Mavericks look like a team that’s waiting for the offseason, and they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Mavericks are 30-41-1 ATS on the season. The Nuggets beat the Mavs on the road in January by 9 points, and they’re healthier than they were back then. On paper this game has no reason to be close. Give me the Nuggets in a beatdown.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -14.5