Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Player Prop Picks 4/28/25 NBA Picks

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat are set to face off in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series on Monday, April 28, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Cavaliers currently lead the series 3-0, following a dominant 37-point victory in Game 3. ​

Cleveland enters Game 4 as an 8.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 210.5 points. The Cavaliers have been impressive throughout the series, even managing a commanding win in Game 3 without starting point guard Darius Garland, who is listed as questionable for Game 4 due to a left great toe sprain.  In Garland’s absence, Max Strus stepped up significantly in Game 3, contributing 18 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists, showcasing his versatility and importance to the team’s success. ​The Heat, meanwhile, are dealing with their own injury concerns, with key players Kevin Love and Terry Rozier ruled out for Game 4.  Despite the challenges, Miami will look to avoid a series sweep and extend their postseason run.​

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Andrew Wiggins Under 15.5 Points

Wiggins is averaging 18.0 points per game, marking a notable improvement from his 13.2 points per game in the previous season. His shooting efficiency was commendable, with a field goal percentage of 44.8%, a three-point percentage of 37.4%, and a free throw percentage of 76.3%. Wiggins has been stumped all series long. He’s failed to score over 14 points in all 3 games. This Cleveland defense is solid, and it’s clear they’re making a point to slow down Wiggins. 

Max Strus Over 9.5 Points

Strus is averaging 9.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game. His shooting percentages were solid, with a field goal percentage of 43.5%, a three-point percentage of 38.5%, and a free throw percentage of 86.7%. ​Strus cleared this line with ease in the last 2 games of this series, and in game 3, he dropped 18 points. The 3-point shot has been money for Strus as of late, and when he’s hot, it’s better to be with him than against him. He should have another double-digit point game in this one. 

Bam Adebayo Over 19.5 Points

Adebayo is averaging 18.1 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game, while shooting 48.5% from the field.  His defensive contributions were notable as well, averaging 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocks per game. ​He’s been the Heat’s most consistent scorer throughout this series. When nobody could hit a shot for the Heat in game 3, Adebayo was doing everything he could for his team. In a ”do or die” situation, I expect Adebayo to step up and have another solid night scoring the ball. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above