Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 5/17/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons meet Sunday in NBA Game 7 at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to make the conference finals for the first time since the 2017-18 season. The Cavs have won 12 of their last 19 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 109.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 25.6 points and 2.9 assists, while James Harden is averaging 20.9 points and 6.2 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons look to make the conference finals for the first time since the 2008-09 season. The Pistons have won 21 of their last 31 games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 105.8 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 101.6 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 29.3 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Tobias Harris is averaging 19.1 points and 1.6 assists. Duncan Robinson is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Duren is dishing 2.1 assists. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

• The Pistons have won each of their last 11 Eastern Conference Semifinals home games following a win.
• The Cavaliers have lost eight of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Pistons have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven games against the Pistons following a home loss.
• The Pistons have lost 32 of their last 38 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday night games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Pistons’ last nine night games at Little Caesars Arena following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Cavaliers’ last four night games against the Pistons following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

• Jalen Duren has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (803) of any player in the league this season.
• Paul Reed is one of only three players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• Evan Mobley ranks 4th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.7) this season.
• Donovan Mitchell is one of only four players in the league to have made 7+ threes in consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.4).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.9).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (62.2%).
• Cavaliers players have recorded the equal-fewest triple-doubles (0) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Injury Report

Kevin Huerter is questionable for the Pistons due to an adductor strain. Caris LeVert is questionable with a heel contusion. Duncan Robinson is questionable with back soreness.

Larry Nance Jr. is questionable for the Cavs due to an illness.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

I considered the points with the Cavaliers, as they are the more talented team and could very well win this game if they execute well offensively. The problem is the Cavs are hard to trust because they don’t play to their potential often and I do believe they blew their chance in game 6. The Cavs turn the ball over too much and Harden and Mitchell have disappeared for long stretches. Detroit is going to be a zoo and that physical defense will be ready. I just don’t trust the Cavs in big spots. We also can’t forget the Cavs are 39-55-1 ATS on the season, which is the worst in the NBA. I have to lay the points with the Pistons.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Pistons -4.5