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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/14/25 NBA Picks

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Miami Heat (29-36) vs Boston Celtics (47-19)

March 14, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +7.5 — Over/Under: 216

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat collide at the Kaseya Center on Friday night. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics have been in red-hot form as they’ve won 15 of their last 19 games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their five-game win streak halted by the Thunder in a 118-112 home defeat on Wednesday. Jayson Tatum led the team with 33 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists, Derrick White added 22 points with eight rebounds and five assists while Al Horford chipped in with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists. As a team, the Celtics shot 43 percent from the field and 20 of 63 from the 3-point line. These aren’t impressive numbers, but the Celtics were right in the contest until the Thunder went on a decisive 7-0 run late in the fourth quarter to pull away. The Celtics will meet the Nets (b2b set) and Jazz after this game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been doing it tough as they’ve lost six of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to arrest a five-game slide after getting routed by the Clippers in a 119-104 home defeat on Wednesday. Tyler Herro tried his best as he led the team with 31 points, six rebounds, and seven assists, Andrew Wiggins added 22 points with five assists and three blocks while Duncan Robinson chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and 14 of 37 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the defense of the Clippers. They did their best to hang within striking distance until the fourth quarter where they scored just 20 points to trail by as many as 18 points. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games at Kaseya Center.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last five games.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last 15 night games following a home loss.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last seven games at Kaseya Center against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games as road favorites following a loss.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last four games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last four games as road favorites against the Heat have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Celtics could be shorthanded for this one as Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, and Kristaps Porzingis are all listed as questionable, while the Heat are still missing Nikola Jovic and Alec Burks. This is definitely one of those games where you should check the lineups before tip-off given the injury cloud hanging over the Celtics’ starters. With that being said, the Heat has been ice-cold lately, particularly on the offensive end, so I don’t think they are good enough to take advantage of a shorthanded Celtics team in their own building. The Celtics could be missing some players, but they still have more than enough firepower to cruise past this slumping Heat squad, who still don’t have any consistent scorers outside of Herro and Adebayo.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -7.5

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