Feb 22, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA;  Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) complains to an official during a game against the Golden State Warriors in the third quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images
David Gonzales-Imagn Images

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Boston Celtics Denver Nuggets
Team Records 38-19 36-22
Spread +3.5 -108 -3.5 -112
Moneyline +136 -162
Total Over 230.5 (-108) Under 230.5 (-112)
Where Ball Arena, Denver, CO
When Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs. Denver Nuggets pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Lakers and the Suns, and they play the Nets next. The Celtics have won 13 of their last 17 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 115.3 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.3 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.2 points and 4.4 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer, and Nikola Vucevic is grabbing 9.7 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Warriors, beat the Trail Blazers, and play the Thunder next. The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 23 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.4 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.7 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.7 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last six games at Ball Arena following a road loss.
  • The Celtics have lost each of their last three games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six games at Ball Arena following a road loss.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 home games after losing as favorites.

Total Points: Facts

  • Thirteen of the Nuggets’ last 14 games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Ten of the Celtics’ last 11 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.
  • Cameron Johnson ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.7%) this season.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

  • The Celtics are allowing just 101.7 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta is on the floor this season—the lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.
  • Sam Hauser ranks 8th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.4%).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.5%).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.1).
  • The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.4).

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Tamar Bates, Aaron Gordon, Jalen Pickett, and Peyton Watson are out for the Nuggets.

The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum. Jaylen Brown is questionable.

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Celtics and the points are worth a look when you consider they keep winning and are 33-23-1 ATS on the season. However, the Celtics are on the end of a back-to-back, and Denver is the worst place to play after playing the night before. The Nuggets are well-rested and already beat the Celtics last month on the road as huge underdogs. This spot favors the Nuggets well. The line is reasonable. Give me the home team and small number.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -3.5

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