San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 4/11/25 NBA Picks

Phoenix Suns (35-45) vs San Antonio Spurs (33-47)

Game Info: Friday, April 11, 2025 at 10:00 pm (PHX Arena)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -4.5 -- Over/Under: 232.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Arizona's Family 3TV

The San Antonio Spurs and Phoenix Suns meet on Friday in NBA action at the PHX Arena. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Clippers, beat the Warriors, and then play the Raptors next. The Spurs haven’t won two straight games since March 21-23. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 114 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Devin Vassell is averaging 16.5 points and 4 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 14.2 points and 3.7 assists. Keldon Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Harrison Barnes is dishing out 1.7 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Warriors and Thunder, and they play the Kings next. The Suns have lost eight straight games and are out of the play-in conversation. 

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 116. points on 47.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.8 points and 6 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.3 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer, and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Spurs have lost each of their last 13 games as underdogs after winning as underdogs.
  • The favorites have won 17 of the Suns' last 18 games.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in 13 of the Suns' last 15 games.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Suns have lost each of their last seven games following a loss.
  • The Spurs have won 14 of their last 16 night games against Suns teams that held a losing record.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Spurs' last five games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint (3382) this season.
  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint per game (42.3) this season.
  • The Spurs have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons - equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
  • The Spurs rank 3rd in the league for blocks per game this season (5.6).

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report 

The Suns will be without Kevin Durant and Nick Richards.

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, De’Aaron Fox, and Victor Wembanyama.

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Spurs are coming off a crazy last-second win over the Warriors, which could create a letdown spot. The Suns are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home. However, I’m not sure what the Suns have done to be favored against anybody. The Suns have lost eight straight games and are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. With a 36.7 percent cover percentage, the Suns have the second-worst cover percentage in the NBA. Only the 76ers are worse at covering numbers than the Suns. You’re nuts if you’re laying points with the Suns. Give me the Spurs and the points. 

Randy’s Pick San Antonio Spurs +4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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