San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Player Prop Picks 12/3/24

This matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the San Antonio Spurs will feature a high-profile showdown, especially with the Spurs’ star rookie, Victor Wembanyama, leading the team. Wembanyama is averaging 24 points and 10 rebounds, showcasing his dominant presence on both ends of the floor. On the other side, the Suns are powered by Devin Booker and newly-acquired Bradley Beal, with Booker averaging nearly 25 points per game. Phoenix will aim to assert their offensive firepower against the Spurs’ improving defense.

Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 Rebounds

Victor Wembanyama has been a dominant force on the boards in the 2024-25 NBA season. Averaging 10.2 rebounds per game, he has shown his ability to contribute heavily in both offensive and defensive rebounding. His rebound breakdown is 2.1 offensive rebounds and 8.2 defensive rebounds per game.

This should be a great spot for Wemby to have a big game on the boards. The Suns will be without their big man Nurkic who is one of the most prominent rebounders in the league. Without Nurkic this Suns team will need to play small which will complement Wemby’s game. He’s coming off a 13-rebound game against a Kings team that is one of the better rebounding teams in the league. He should carry that momentum and clean up on the glass against this Suns team. 

Chris Paul Over 7.5 Assists 

Chris Paul has been delivering solid assist numbers for the 2024-25 NBA season as he adjusts to his role with the San Antonio Spurs. Through 20 games, he is averaging 8.3 assists per game. His assist-to-turnover ratio reflects his high basketball IQ, as he continues to facilitate for teammates effectively. He is also contributing 1.4 steals per game while maintaining a field goal percentage of 45.3% and a 3-point shooting percentage of 37.5%. His impact on the game also extends to ball movement, consistently setting up plays for teammates.

After a quiet few games in the assists collum for Chris Paul he bounced back in his last game against the Kings where he had 10 assists. He should carry that momentum into this game against the Suns which will be a favorable matchup. The Suns are giving up 26.7 assists per game to opposing teams which is well above the league average. 

Kevin Durrant Under 26.5 Points

Kevin Durant is averaging 26.8 points per game through his first several outings, Durant has been a consistent offensive force for the Phoenix Suns. His shooting efficiency has been remarkable, hitting 53.2% of his field goals and 43.4% from beyond the arc. Additionally, Durant has been contributing in other aspects, including pulling down 6.9 rebounds and dishing out 3.2 assists per game. His free throw accuracy is solid at 80.8%, and he has showcased a high overall efficiency with a true shooting percentage of 64.9%.

Since returning from injury I haven’t liked how Durrant has looked on the offensive side of the ball. He’s coming off a game where he only scored 21 points against the Warriors. Without Nurkic in the lineup, Durant will have to be more active on the defensive end and put more effort into rebounding which takes away from his offensive game. Until Durrant looks like his old self I’ll be looking to fade him on his points total.