Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 4/9/25 NBA Picks

Phoenix Suns (35-44) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (65-14)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 9, 2025 at 10:00 pm (PHX Arena)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns +11.5 -- Over/Under: 231 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Arizona's Family 3TV

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Phoenix Suns meet on Wednesday in NBA action at the PHX Arena. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Rockets, split with the Lakers, and then play the Jazz and Pelicans next. The Thunder have lost two road games since February 1. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.2 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.9 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 10.9 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Warriors and Knicks, and they play the Spurs and Kings next. The Suns have lost seven straight games and are three games out of the play-in tournament. 

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 116. points on 47.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.8 points and 6 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.3 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer, and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Suns have won 12 of their last 13 home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight road games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 23 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Suns have lost each of their last seven games.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Suns' last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint (3342) this season.
  • The Suns rank 29th for points in the paint per game (42.3) this season.
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report 

The Suns will be without Kevin Durant due to an ankle injury.

The Thunder will be without Alex Ducas, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, and Nikola Topic.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Thunder continue to win and cover numbers, and their 52-24-4 ATS record is the best in the NBA. The Thunder continue to lose, and their 29-49-1 ATS record is the second-worst in the NBA. Only the 76ers are worse at covering numbers this season. The Suns have failed to cover eight straight games and often look like a team that’s just ready for things to end. The Thunder and the Suns are on the opposite side of the globe in terms of betting value. I have no choice but to lay the points with the Thunder.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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