Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/28/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Bulls, beat the Bucks, and they play the Timberwolves, Spurs, and Warriors next. The Nuggets have split their last 18 games and have dropped to the third seed in the West. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 50.5 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.1 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.7 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Jazz have lost each of their last 14 road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Nuggets have won each of their last 13 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Jazz and Nuggets.
• The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.

Why the Utah Jazz will win

• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
• The road team has won each of the Jazz's last four games.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games at Ball Arena.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the Nuggets' last 10 games.

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Julian Strawther. Jamal Murray is questionable with a hamstring injury.

The Utah Jazz will be without Taylor Hendricks, John Collins, Elijah Harkless, Jordan Clarkson, and Lauri Markkanen.

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

This is a massive line and not one I’m excited to lay, but the Jazz are in tank mode and on the end of a back-to-back. Denver is the worst place to play in these spots because the altitude doesn’t help. The Nuggets are as healthy as they’ve been in a while, and they need to keep winning if they’re going to make a push for the second seed in the West. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Jazz, and four of those wins came as double-digit favorites. Usually, you see lines like this in the NBA for a reason. Oddsmakers aren’t just throwing this amount of points out there because they like to give away money. It’s either Nuggets or pass.