Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 3/25/25 NBA Picks

Sacramento Kings (35-36) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 25, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Golden 1 Center)

Betting Odds: Sacramento Kings +10 -- Over/Under: 231 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TNT

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Sacramento Kings meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 2025-03-25

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Hornets and Clippers, and then play the Grizzlies, Pacers, and Bulls next. The Thunder have won 13 of their last 14 games and have a two-game lead for the best record in the NBA. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.8 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.3 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Celtics and Bucks, and they play the Trail Blazers, Magic, and Pacers next. The Kings have lost eight of their last 11 games and have dropped to the ninth seed in the West. 

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 116.2 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 47.3 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 22.2 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zach LaVine is averaging 21.7 points and 3.8 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 38.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Thunder have lost eight of their last nine games against Pacific Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Kings have won seven of their last eight home games against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Thunder and Kings.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 21 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Kings have lost each of their last nine Tuesday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kings rank 28th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.7).
  • The Kings rank 4th in the league for free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report 

The Kings won’t have Domantas Sabonis, while Malik Monk and Devin Carter are questionable after not playing last night.

The Thunder will be without Alex Ducas, Jalen Williams, Ousmane Dieng, and Nikola Topic. Chet Holmgren is questionable with a hip injury.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Kings continue to lose games, slip in the standings and I doubt things improve on the end of a back-to-back. The Thunder have the rest advantage and they’ve been cashews with a 46-22-4 ATS record. The Thunder have a cover percentage of 68.6 percent which is the best in the NBA by a decent margin. The line is steep, but the Thunder are easily the best cover team in the league and it makes them easy to blindly back. The Thunder are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four games against the Kings. I’ll lay the points with the Thunder.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -10

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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