Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/23/25 NBA Picks

Houston Rockets (46-25) vs Denver Nuggets (44-27)

Game Info: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Toyota Center (Houston))

Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -7 -- Over/Under: 227 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Space City Home Network

The Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Lakers and Trail Blazers, and they play the Bulls, Bucks, and Jazz next. The Nuggets have lost five of their last eight games and have dropped to the third seed in the West. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.1 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.5 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets beat the Magic and Heat, and they play the Hawks, Jazz, and Suns next. The Rockets have won nine straight games and are currently the second seed in the West.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.6 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.4 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.1 points and 10.5 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Amen Thompson is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last 14 games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have won each of their last 10 games against the Nuggets at Toyota Center following a win.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites against the Nuggets.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Rockets have lost each of their last two games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Toyota Center following a road win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (14.8).
  • The Rockets rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.6%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.0).

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Injury Report 

The Rockets will be without Reed Sheppard.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Nikola Jokic, and Julian Strawther.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction

It’s hard to take the Nuggets seriously without Jokic as this is a team that lacks depth as it is. The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games and have failed to cover eight of their last 10 games. The Rockets beat the Nuggets by 20 points two months ago and are back to their winning ways over the last couple of weeks. This is a big game as the Rockets can create more separation for that second seed in the West. The Rockets are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against the Nuggets. While we’ve seen the Rockets crash and burn at times as they’re still a young team learning to deal with expectations, this is a game they should win comfortably over the Nuggets who are down their best player.

Randy’s Pick Houston Rockets -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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