Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/19/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (29-39) vs Detroit Pistons (38-31)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +5.5 -- Over/Under: 217 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Detroit Pistons travel to the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday night. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Pick.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons have been in a rut as they've lost four of their last seven games overall, but they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Pelicans in a dominant 127-81 road win on Monday. Cade Cunningham led the team with 24 points and eight assists on 10 of 16 shooting, Simone Fontecchio added 23 points on nine of 10 shooting while Dennis Schroder chipped in with 12 points and five assists off the bench. As a team, the Pistons shot 54 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the tipoff and were always in control after outscoring the Pelicans by an incredible 35-13 in the first quarter. With the game locked up before halftime, the Pistons were able to rest their starters early and give extended minutes to all eight bench players.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in a major slump as they've lost nine of their last 10 games overall. They will be hoping to snap an eight-game slide after getting routed by the Knicks in a 116-95 road defeat on Monday. Duncan Robinson led the team with 22 points on eight of 12 shooting, Tyler Herro added 20 points on 10 of 18 shooting while Bam Adebayo and Davion Mitchell scored 12 points each. As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and six of 23 from the 3-point line as they looked up for the fight when they opened the game with a 12-0 run. But that didn't last long at all as the Heat got smashed by 41-15 in the third quarter to trail by as many as 27 points.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the Heat's last four games at Kaseya Center.
  • The Pistons have lost eight of their last 14 games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Pistons and Heat at Kaseya Center.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have won 12 of their last 13 road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Wednesday games as home underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat's last seven Wednesday night games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of the Pistons' last five road games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Pistons are coming in with the same squad from Monday's win, while the Heat are still keeping an eye on Andrew Wiggins and Alec Burks who are both questionable for this meeting. The Pistons are coming into this one as the clear favorites, and they looked great in their massive win over the Pelicans in their last game. Meanwhile, the Heat have continued their nosedive with another blowout loss in their last outing. The Heat just hasn't been able to get anything going since all the Jimmy Butler drama, and I don't think we're getting enough points from the bookies at this line. With that being said, I will back the Pistons to maintain their momentum with a win and cover over this hapless Heat squad.

Peter’s Pick Detroit -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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