Houston Rockets (41-25) vs Dallas Mavericks (33-34)
Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center (Houston))
Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -11.5 -- Over/Under: 224 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: Space City Home Network
The Houston Rockets play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Toyota Center on Friday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they've lost eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting routed by the lowly Spurs in a 126-116 road defeat on Wednesday. Brandon Williams led the team with 19 points and six assists off the bench, Dante Exum added 17 points on six of seven shooting while Naji Marshall and Klay Thompson scored 15 points each. As a team, the Mavericks shot 55 percent from the field and 13 of 32 from the 3-point line, but they were poor on the defensive end. They were always in trouble after allowing a total of 77 points in the second and third quarters combined.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets are starting to heat up again as they are now gunning for a fifth straight victory after outlasting the Suns in a 111-104 home win on Wednesday. Jalen Green led the team with 29 points, seven rebounds, and four assists, Alperen Sengun added 20 points with seven assists, Dillon Brooks scored 19 points while Tari Eason chipped in with 15 points and 10 rebounds. As a team, the Rockets shot 45 percent from the field and 12 of 38 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Suns from the start. They dominated most of the game to lead by as many as 17 points in the fourth quarter. Before they rested some starters early and allowed the Suns to cut the margin to single digits in the final seconds.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last eight games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last eight games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won two of their last three games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Rockets' last nine home games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Mavericks' last six night games at Toyota Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing a host of players including Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, and Daniel Gafford, while the Rockets have ruled out Amen Thompson for this one. The Mavericks have been smashed by injuries lately, and their confidence took another gut shot after getting beaten by the lowly Spurs in their last game. In contrast, the Rockets have sprung to life with four straight wins, they are relatively healthy and are deserved heavy favorites at home in this spot. There is a chance that the Mavericks get a couple of players back with PJ Washington and Brandon Williams upgraded to questionable, but the Rockets are in a groove right now. They should have little trouble running up the score against this depleted Mavericks team.
Peter’s Pick Houston -11.5
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
AUTHOR: Peter Tran
