Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/12/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets (42-23) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under: 236 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Spurs and Heat, and they play the Magic, Jazz, and Pacers next. The Timberwolves look to win six straight games for the first time this season. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.2 points and 6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.8 points and 4.6 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the Suns, split with the Thunder, and they play the Lakers, Wizards, and Warriors next. The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 18 games and are fighting with the Lakers for the second seed in the West.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 121.2 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Ball Arena.
  • The Timberwolves have lost 15 of their last 19 games at Ball Arena following a home win.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites following a road win.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as road underdogs following a win.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won 11 of their last 13 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games following a win.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 13 of their last 14 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Timberwolves.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.8%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.6).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (26.0).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II and Julian Strawther. Aaron Gordon is doubtful with a calf injury.

Rudy Gobert is questionable for the Timberwolves with a back injury.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been hit or miss all year and it’s hard to figure out which team is showing up night to night. Possibly not having Gobert in this matchup hurts, as the Timberwolves need size to counter the Nuggets. The Nuggets are the healthier side and at home where they’re 22-9 SU. The Nuggets also have to be feeling good after bouncing back against the Thunder on the road. I’ve mentioned before that I’m on the Nuggets bandwagon and they’re a team I’ll be watching closely down the stretch. I’d need more points to look in the Timberwolves direction. Give me the Nuggets and the reasonable number.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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