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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/7/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
Miami Heat (29-32) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (35-29)
March 7, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +4.5 — Over/Under: 215.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Friday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting PreviewÂ
The Minnesota Timberwolves haven’t been at their best as they’ve lost six of their last 11 games overall, but they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after blowing past the slumping Hornets in a 125-110 road win on Wednesday. Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels led the team with 29 points each, Julius Randle added 25 points with 10 rebounds and nine assists while Donte DiVincenzo chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 48 percent from the field and a sizzling 21 of 49 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 39 points in the first quarter to take an early double-digit lead. They kept their foot on the gas until the lead ballooned to 22 points.Â
Miami Heat Betting PreviewÂ
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been struggling for form as they’ve lost eight of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back here after getting beaten by the Cavaliers in a 112-107 road defeat on Wednesday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 34 points, 12 rebounds, and five assists on 11 of 18 shooting, Duncan Robinson added 14 points while Haywood Highsmith chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line. They showed plenty of fight to claw their way back from a 17-point deficit to take a seven-point lead in the fourth quarter, only to get outscored by 19-7 in the final 5:56 to fall just short in the end. The Heat will meet the Bulls, Hornets, and Clippers after this game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Timberwolves and Heat at Kaseya Center.
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last three games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 Friday night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Kaseya Center.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven night games against the Heat following a road win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Timberwolves and Heat at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Timberwolves could be shorthanded again with Rudy Gobert still listed as questionable for this one, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jacquez Jr, and Tyler Herro who are all questionable. This is certainly one of those games where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the dark injury cloud hanging over the Heat in this matchup. With that being said, the line is short enough for me to take the Timberwolves with my fingers crossed that the Heat are missing some players for this encounter.
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