Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/4/25 NBA Picks

Atlanta Hawks (27-33) vs Milwaukee Bucks (34-25)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 7:30 pm (State Farm Arena)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks +5.5 -- Over/Under: 243.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN SE

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Atlanta Hawks do battle at the State Farm Arena on Tuesday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in great form as they've won six of their last seven games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the Mavericks in a 132-117 road win on Saturday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 29 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists on nine of 14 shooting, Damian Lillard added 28 points with six rebounds and six assists while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 20 points off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 50 percent from the field and 13 of 39 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 40 points in the second quarter to take the lead into halftime. The Bucks played great defense to limit the Mavericks to just 16 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 23 points. The Bucks will take on the Mavs and Magic after this game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in a slump as they've lost five of their last seven games overall, but they will be feeling much better after snapping a two-game skid with a 132-130 road win last night over Memphis. Zaccharie Risacher led the team with 27 points on 11 of 13 shooting, Caris LeVert added 25 points with five assists, Onyeka Okongwu scored 16 points with 12 rebounds while Trae Young chipped in with 12 points and 15 assists. As a team, the Hawks shot 57 percent from the field and 13 of 28 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they trailed by 13 points in the fourth quarter. Before they stole the game thanks to Caris LeVert who drained the game-winner at the buzzer. The Hawks will face the Pacers following this one.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Bucks have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Hawks have won four of their last six games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a win.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won nine of their last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last five games at State Farm Arena when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at State Farm Arena when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Bucks' last five night games against the Hawks following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Hawks' last four night games at State Farm Arena following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Bucks are still shorthanded with Kyle Kuzma and Pat Connaughton still out, while the Hawks are still playing without Jalen Johnson, Larry Nance Jr, and Georges Niang. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Hawks leading the series by 2-1. It's not surprising to see them open as underdogs at home given that they are playing on zero days rest against the Bucks, who have clearly been the more consistent team lately. The Hawks could surprise the Bucks if they get off to a quick start, but the Bucks will be well-rested, as they haven't played since Saturday. So, I like the Bucks to take care of business at the modest line in this spot.

Peter’s Pick Milwaukee -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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