Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 3/4/25 NBA Picks

Indiana Pacers (34-25) vs Houston Rockets (37-23)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers -3.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN IN

The Houston Rockets and the Indiana Pacers collide at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday night. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets have been in decent shape as they have won five of their last nine games overall. But they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling just short to the red-hot Thunder in a 137-128 road defeat last night. Cam Whitmore led the team with 27 points, 11 rebounds, and three blocks, Reed Sheppard added 25 points with five assists while Jalen Green chipped in with 18 points, six rebounds, and four assists. As a team, the Rockets shot 48 percent from the field and 16 of 35 from the 3-point line as they kept pace with the Thunder in a tightly contested first half. However, they fell victim to a 22-5 run from the Thunder to see them trailing by 17 points in the blink of an eye. The Rockets will take on the Pels in a back-to-back set after this game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in pretty good form as they've won five of their last seven games overall, and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the Bulls in a 127-112 home win on Sunday. Aaron Nesmith led the team with 27 points on nine of 16 shooting, Pascal Siakam added 20 points with six rebounds and four assists while Tyrese Haliburton chipped in with 17 points and 12 assists. As a team, the Pacers shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and 19 of 44 from the 3-point line. The Pacers dominated the second half by 61-45 to win comfortably at home. 

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Rockets have lost each of their last 14 games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Pacers have won eight of their last nine night games against the Rockets.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a road loss.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Pacers' last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Pacers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Rockets have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers' last six games against the Rockets following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Rockets' last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Rockets are still missing Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun, and Tari Eason, while the Pacers have listed Bennedict Mathurin as doubtful for this one. This is another one of those games where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over the Rockets, especially because they are playing their second game of a back-to-back set. With that being said, I would rather side with the more reliable Pacers to cover the short line at home.

Peter’s Pick Indiana -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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