Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/3/25 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (28-31) vs Washington Wizards (11-48)

Game Info: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -10.5 -- Over/Under: 220 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MNMT

The Washington Wizards travel to the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday night. Here’s a Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Pick.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview 

The Washington Wizards have been doing it tough as they have lost seven of their last nine games overall. But they will be looking to build some momentum in this one after taking down the Hornets in a 113-100 road win on Saturday. Khris Middleton and Bilal Coulibaly each scored 17 points, Richaun Holmes added 15 points, nine rebounds and three assists off the bench while Corey Kispert chipped in with 13 points, five rebounds, and four assists. As a team, the Wizards shot 45 percent from the field and 17 of 50 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and trailed going into halftime. Before they flipped the script and dominated the second half by 59-41 to win comfortably and complete the season series sweep of the Hornets. The Wizards will face the Jazz following this one.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent form as they've split their last six games, but they will be hoping to bounce back after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Knicks in a 116-112 overtime loss last night. Bam Adebayo led the team with 30 points, seven rebounds, and four assists on 12 of 16 shooting, Tyler Herro added 22 points with seven assists while Kel'el Ware chipped in with 12 points, eight rebounds, and six blocks. As a team, the Heat shot 53 percent from the field and 11 of 35 from the 3-point line. The Heat dominated the first half to lead by 19 points, but they allowed the Knicks back into the contest and got burned in overtime, where they managed just seven points.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won 28 of their last 32 home games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Wizards have lost each of their last five games against the Heat after winning as underdogs.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a home loss.
  • The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last three games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Wizards have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games after coming off overtime.
  • The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat's last six games as home favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Wizards' last four games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Wizards are still shorthanded with Jordan Poole and Saddiq Bey still out, while the Heat are still playing without Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jacquez Jr.. The Heat open as favorites at home, but it's always tough playing on zero days rest following an overtime game. So, the door is open for the Wizards, who looked good in their big win over the Hornets on Saturday. It's hard to imagine anything but a win for the Heat at home, but they are still playing well below their best, so I think the Wizards can hang around and keep this one to single digits.

Peter’s Pick Washington +10.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss