Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/3/25 NBA Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Spurs and Hawks, and they play the Grizzlies, Trail Blazers, and Nuggets next. The Thunder are 12-2 in their last 14 games as they fight for the best record in the NBA. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.4 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 14 of their last 15 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Rockets have lost 19 of their last 20 games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won four of their last five games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Rockets.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six Monday games as underdogs.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, and Ajay Mitchell. 

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet. Amen Thompson, Dillon Brooks, Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams, and Tari Eason are questionable. 

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Houston Rockets as a double-digit underdog is disrespectful, as they’ve shown this season they can beat any team in the league. However, the Rockets have cooled off these last few weeks and they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Thunder are also 37-20-4 ATS on the season and they’ve covered double-digit numbers without an issue as well. You’d think the Rockets can make this a game, but betting against OKC just hasn’t been profitable the last two seasons. As long as those tickets keep cashing, you should be riding with the Thunder. That’s the case again on Monday night.