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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/27/25 NBA Picks

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Miami Heat (22-22) vs Orlando Magic (24-23)

January 27, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +1.5 — Over/Under: 207

(Get latest betting odds)

The Orlando Magic and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s an Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include an Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Pick.

Orlando Magic 

The Orlando Magic have been doing it tough lately as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall, but they will be feeling much better after putting an end to a five-game losing streak with a 121-113 win over the Pistons on Saturday. Paolo Banchero led the team with 32 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists on 11 of 22 shooting, Franz Wagner added 32 points with seven assists while Jonathan Isaac chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Magic shot 48 percent from the field and 15 of 33 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and scored just 18 points in the first quarter to fall behind right away, but they responded with 36 points in the second quarter and really turned it on with 42 points in the fourth quarter to come away with the much-needed victory at home. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in poor form as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall, but they will be looking to build some momentum after taking down the struggling Nets in a 106-97 road win on Saturday. Tyler Herro led the team with 25 points and eight assists, Bam Adebayo and Nikola Jokic each scored 17 points while Terry Rozier chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and 13 of 28 from the 3-point line, but this win was set up by their defense as they restricted the Nets to just 17 points in the first quarter to take the early lead, before they went on a run in the third quarter to push the margin out to 18 points. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last 15 games at Kaseya Center against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Magic have lost nine of their last 10 games at Kaseya Center.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Kaseya Center against Magic teams that held a winning record.
  • The Magic have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.

Why the Orlando Magic will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Magic have won five of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Heat’s last eight games.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs following a road win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points at HT this season.
  • The Heat rank 29th for second chance points per game (11.3) this season.
  • The Magic rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
  • The Magic rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (30.5%).

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Magic have ruled out Gary Harris once again with Jalen Suggs and Goga Bitadze both listed as questionable, while the Heat are still playing without Josh Richardson. The Magic have really been struggling lately as they’ve been hit hard by injuries, but they are slowly getting healthy and they will be breathing a sigh of relief after beating the Pistons in their last game. Similarly, the Heat were really doing it tough before they took down an ice-cold Nets team in their last outing. You couldn’t back either side with too much confidence, but I think there is a little more to like about the Magic who are deserved favorites against this Heat team in turmoil.

Peter Tran's Pick: Orlando -1.5

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