Dallas Mavericks (22-16) vs Denver Nuggets (22-15)
Game Info: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 3:00 pm (American Airlines Center)
Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +4.5 -- Over/Under: 228.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: NBA League Pass
The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Sunday afternoon. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they've won six of their last eight games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after blowing past the Nets in a 124-105 home win on Friday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a monster triple-double of 35 points with 12 rebounds and 15 assists, Russell Westbrook tallied a triple-double of 25 points with 11 rebounds and 10 assists while Michael Porter Jr chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and nine of 24 from the 3-point line. The Nuggets jumped all over the Nets from the start, taking a narrow lead into halftime, before they cruised in a dominant second half to improve to 22-15 on the season and 12-7 at home.
Dallas Mavericks
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks look to have moved on from their ugly five-game losing streak as they are now gunning for a third straight win after sneaking past the Trail Blazers in a 117-111 home win on Thursday. Jaden Hardy led the team in scoring with 25 points on 10 of 18 shooting off the bench, PJ Washington added 23 points with 14 rebounds while Dereck Lively chipped in with 21 points, 16 rebounds, and three blocks. As a team, the Mavericks shot 45 percent from the field and 10 of 30 from the 3-point line. The Mavs struggled to get going and looked to be in trouble when they trailed by 12 points in the third quarter before they flipped the script and dominated the fourth quarter by 36-22 to escape with the much-needed victory. Following this b2b set with the Nuggets, the Mavs will meet the Pelicans.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home underdogs.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Mavericks have lost five of their last six day games at American Airlines Center following a home win.
- The Nuggets have won eight of their last 10 day games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at American Airlines Center following a home win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks' last four day games against Northwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Nuggets' last 10 day games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Nuggets could be missing a couple of players with Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon both listed as questionable, while the Mavericks are still without Luka Doncic, Dante Exum, and Kyrie Irving. The Nuggets have been able to keep winning games despite playing without Jokic and they look even better now that he is racking up triple-doubles alongside Westbrook who has been a great pickup this season. The Mavericks have shown signs of life by winning their past two games without their stars. The Nuggets are in a groove and should have too much firepower for this banged-up Mavericks squad, even if Murray and Gordon sit out.
Peter’s Pick Denver -4.5
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
AUTHOR: Peter Tran
