Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 12/23/24

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Denver Nuggets (14-11) vs Phoenix Suns (14-13)

December 23, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -6.5 / Phoenix Suns +6.5 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Pacers and Pistons, and they play the Mavericks, Warriors, and Grizzlies next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.9 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.4 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Trail Blazers, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Cavs, Pistons, and Jazz next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 119.4 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 31 points and 13 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.7 points and 3.9 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Suns have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Seventeen of the Nuggets’ last 18 home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Suns’ last eight night games against the Nuggets following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.6).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for free throws made per game this season (19.2).
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (85.1).
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (25.9%).

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

This line doesn’t make much sense to me. Yes, the Phoenix Suns are underachieving, don’t defend and they don’t cover numbers. I don’t like what I’ve seen from the Suns this season. However, the Nuggets haven’t lit the world on fire this season, and they’re on the end of a back-to-back with a game that included overtime. I don’t understand the Nuggets getting this number, especially when the Suns have won the last two games against the Nuggets. Give me the Suns and the free buckets. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +6.5

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