Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 12/7/24

Pick details

Miami Heat (10-10) vs Phoenix Suns (12-9)

December 7, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -5.5 / Phoenix Suns +5.5 — Over/Under: 220.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Suns and Miami Heat meet Saturday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Spurs, lost to the Pelicans, and they play the Magic, Jazz, and Trail Blazers next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.3 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.8 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Celtics, beat the Lakers, and they play the Cavs, Raptors, and Pistons next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.3 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.1 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.7 points and 5.4 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Suns have lost nine of their last 10 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Heat have won seven of their last eight games against the Suns at Kaseya Center following a win.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last five games.

Total Points Facts


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  • Each of the Heat’s last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Suns’ last seven road games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.8).
  • The Heat rank T29th for second-chance points (235) this season.
  • The Suns rank 28th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.5%).
  • The Suns rank 27th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.8).

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Phoenix Suns have been a mess without Durant both SU and ATS, so they could roll over like dogs and get smoked. However, the Miami Heat are about as average as it gets in this league, and you’re never sure which team is going to show up from game to game. The Heat have offensive issues at times to trust with big numbers and if Beal and Booker get hot, the Suns could easily steal this one on the road. I just don’t like the Heat in the decent-sized favorite role. Give me the Suns and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +5.5

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